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Live Streamed on March 4, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Breach of Promise: The 315th Evolutionary Lens with Bret Weinstein and Heather Heying

On this, our 315th Evolutionary Lens livestream, we discuss war, breaches of promise, and manta rays. Why are we at war in Iran, when this president promised “no new wars”? Removing dictators and strongmen from the world is honorable—but will the Iranian people thrive after this move, or will this look more like Iraq? Can we reconcile what Secretary of State Rubio said about why we started the war, versus what Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu said? Then: Kansas has reversed course on letting put a chosen gender identity on official documents rather than your biological sex—to the good—but they did so in a way guaranteed to create havoc and make things very hard for the people who need to get new IDs. These are people who broke no laws, but are being treated badly by the state as if they did. Finally: manta rays are extraordinary and deeply intelligent; we share footage and words about them. Finally, a shout out to Covid Era Stories.


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Mentioned in this episode:

Rubio: https://x.com/mtracey/status/2028607181134696564

Netanyahu: https://x.com/DowdEdward/status/2028665196072558794

Kansas law: https://kansasreflector.com/2026/03/04/kansas-anti-trans-law-targets-ids-and-birth-certificates-and-the-right-to-vote/

Covid Era Stories: https://naturalselections.substack.com/s/covid-era-stories

01:42:03
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Avoiding certainty is hard but necessary. Bret & Heather use real cases to think scientifically about the world in Episode 318, "Careful Thinking in Reckless Times."

"The nested sets nature of logic, which branching diagrams can reveal in a different way than if you just nested the sets within parentheses or something, can show you that it could be Tyler Robinson and still not have him be some lone gun nut, which is exactly what you have established here." Heather Heying

00:00:58
Bret Weinstein reacts to the Melania Trump AI teachers:

"I get it. And it’s not that it is impossible to imagine robotic teachers doing an excellent job, but it is stunning to watch a sophisticated person fail to recognize what happens when you think that that’s what you’re going to produce, and you set it in motion.

Let me point out that Wikipedia has many of the advantages that Melania is describing in this video. It is completely democratizing of knowledge, such that it doesn’t matter where on earth you are. If you have an internet connection, you’ve got Wikipedia. It’s like an extension of your own mind, and it will make us all brilliant.

Now, of course, that didn’t happen, did it? Wikipedia is a hellscape of misinformation, much of it targeted based on a political agenda. We are less certain of what we know, and less capable of reasoning on our own.

Now, that doesn’t all come from Wikipedia, but my point is the promise of Wikipedia was not realized. And what we got instead is arguably worse than what we had before it was ...

00:02:54
Judge's Viral Dissent in Women-Only Spa | DarkHorse 317

Olympus Spa, a traditional Korean nude spa for women in the Seattle area, was told by the state of Washington, now upheld by the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals, that they must let men in, so long as those men think they’re women. Judge VanDyke’s dissent correctly summarizes the issue as one of “swinging dicks.”

Full Episode: https://darkhorse.locals.com/post/7778506/is-cell-phone-radiation-good-for-you-the-317th-evolutionary-lens-with-bret-weinstein-and-heather-he

Heather Heying explains:

"These are such clowns. These judges are such clowns. And one of them’s a woman who apparently gives no fucks about the women and girls as young as 13, who might go to this amazing spa and be exposed to a very confused and mentally unstable man who’s got his balls and dick out.

More likely, frankly, most of us who once went to this amazing business are not going to go anymore. They’re going to have put out of business a Korean family who happened to be conservative Christians because of what? ...

00:20:50
If everything feels confusing right now, this is for you.

In Ep. 318 of the Evolutionary Lens, Bret Weinstein & Heather Heying discuss how to understand our universe: through logic, intuition, and probability, through keeping track of what we believe, and being willing to change our minds.

Avoiding certainty is difficult, but necessary. Using examples of: who killed Charlie Kirk, and whether the venue where he was speaking suggests black magic, we discuss how to make sense of the world in a scientific way.

Add “Careful Thinking in Reckless Times” with Bret Weinstein and Heather Heying to your podcast playlist:

Locals: https://darkhorse.locals.com/post/7797083/the-318th-evolutionary-lens-with-bret-weinstein-and-heather-heying

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8FJapnzOqxY

Rumble: https://rumble.com/v77m1g0-the-318th-evolutionary-lens-with-bret-weinstein-and-heather-heying.html

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4lrFDTeb5h0lcaz8ziWLUO?si=1DvxraHoT2GggKiHy0o9dQ

Apple: ...

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Failure of Imagination

When zero sum thinking is a mindset

If you haven’t listened to Avraham Burg and Tucker’s conversation, I highly recommend it. As someone who is fascinated with the Israeli mindset, I found the conversation to have a wealth of information. Burg is a former Speaker of the Knesset and interim president of Israel. He grew up inside the system and spent decades at the center of Israeli political life. And in this interview, he genuinely transformed how I think about those in the Israeli political scene.

Here are the quotes that stood out to me the most:


1)

> “We Israelis live in a reality where a constitution can be seen as a threat.”

Unfortunately, I am starting to think more Americans feel this way too. A lot of Americans, especially when it comes to vaccines or figures like Charlie Kirk, seem to adopt what I would call “Sam Harrisonian” thinking—where we must trust the institutions because institutions need to be trusted. Therefore, it’s okay to ask questions… but only after the endless ...

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21 hours ago
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